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“Within 10 to 20 years, we are going to see important impacts in many areas, which will have an effect on security. For instance, changes in rainfall with increasing droughts will impact agricultural production. Growing ocean acidification will have consequences for plant life, fauna and fish stocks. These changes could, in turn, lead to human migratory flows, which are already severe in some parts of the world. Security problems and disputes could occur over the sharing of arable land and water resources, such as important rivers. To address environmental issues threatening security in vulnerable regions, NATO joined five other international agencies in 2004 to form the Environmental and Security (ENVSEC) Initiative. As a result, NATO is able to factor in, in terms of its policy planning and strategic assessments, the best science on climate change and start to model scenarios the military may have to deal with,” explains Shea.
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Jamie Shea
, Deputy Assistant Secretary General for Emerging Security Challenges,
NATO
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